STI Weekly Technical Outlook (23 Nov - 27 Nov 15)

Straits Times Index (STI) Technical View:
Primary Trend (6mths or more) : Bearish
Secondary Trend (1-6mths)     : Bearish
Short Term(1mths or less)     : Bearish

Trading the Singapore Market (Long Trades)
Long Term Trades : Not Preferred
Mid Term Trades  : Not Preferred
Short Term Trades: Not Preferred

Levels to watch:
Resistance 2: 3,100
Resistance 1: 2,950
Support    1: 2,820
Support    2: 2,740

Probable STI Movement
Preferred  : Sideways near 2,900-2,950 zone
Alternate  : Bearish downward movement towards 2,850

Remarks: STI ranged 2,900 - 2,950 last week and it will likely to range 2,900, 2,950 again this coming week or a bearish downward move as both momentum indicator MACD and ROC(10) continues to show downward momentum.

Comments on STI Technical View
Primary Trend is bearish as 55 Days SMA is trading below the 144 Days SMA, and 144 Days SMA continues to be downward sloping.

Secondary Trend is bearish as MACD continues to be bearish and traes below the signal line.

Minor Trend is bearish as ROC(10) continues to slow and trade below zero.

*Disclaimer Applies

Technical Terms (StockCharts.com):
Dow Theory
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence Oscillator (MACD)
Moving Average
Trend Line
Support and Resistance
Rate of Change (ROC)

Popular posts from this blog

Eventful Week: FOMC Decision and Earnings Reports Headline Upcoming Week

Image
  Eventful Week: FOMC Decision and Earnings Reports Headline Upcoming Week The week ahead is shaping up to be a busy one for the markets, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and earnings season taking center stage. The FOMC is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, in an effort to combat inflation. This will be the first rate hike after June's pause, and investors will be closely watching the accompanying statement for any clues about the pace of future rate hikes. Earnings season is also in full swing, with more than 100 companies in the S&P 500 scheduled to report results this week. Investors will be looking for signs of how companies are weathering the current economic and geopolitical challenges. In the meantime, China markets appear to be stabilizing, with the yuan holding steady against the dollar below 7.25 and KweiChow Moutai (600519), a vital component of the China A50 index, which displays strength by breaking out
Read more

Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Image
Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.
Read more