Skip to main content

S&P 500 Technical Breakthrough

 




Technical Breakthrough
Last week marked significant gain in the financial markets; not only did we witness progress in the debt ceiling, but the S&P 500 also broke above the key 4,180 resistance point after weeks of consolidation. Given the break and the prevailing trading character, we anticipate the market index to approach 4,300.

Investor confidence continues to surge, spurred by the growth of mega tech and semiconductor stocks. The underlying theme driving these price movement is Artificial Intelligence (AI) demand.

Our strategy remains consistent - we continue to hold long positions in the market, eyeing for any signs of strength in stocks. One noteworthy performer is Pinduoduo (PDD, US), which successfully broke above its downtrend line. Coupled with the Fund Flow Index (FFI) in positive territory and Relative Strength (RS) breaking above its zero line, we foresee the price gaining more momentum as consumer sentiment and spending in China improve.

Headlines for Week Ahead:
US Debt Celling Negotiation final phase
US PMI
US Jobs Data
China Apr Eco Data
SG SPIMM PMI
SG Retail Sales
SG Short trading week (Vesak Day)


Disclaimers apply





Most Popular

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI),  annual performance  during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...

Week Ahead: US Indices Momemtum in Question

    Week Ahead: 10 March 2025 Key event this week was  U.S. indices technically closed below the key 30-week (or 150-day) moving average . For the upward trend to continue, the indices need to reclaim levels above the moving averages. Remaining below the 30-week (or 150-day) moving average could indicate that the upward trend has reversed downward. However, in the short term, we expect a rebound as the indices trade near their respective support levels. Medium Term: S&P 500 (SPX):  The S&P 500 broke below its key upward trendline, which had been established since October 2023. In the longer term, we expect the index to trade sideways or move in a downward direction. In the short term, we anticipate the S&P 500 will find support at the 5,700 level and could rebound to test the 5,860 and then the 5,966 resistance zones. Straits Times Index (STI):  The technical trend remains bullish. We maintain a constructive outlook while staying vigilant for any sig...

DBS Group Holdings (D05) and Straits Times Index (STI): Technical Change of Momentum

         DBS Group Holdings (D05) and Straits Times Index (STI):  Technical  Change of Momentum  Recent price developments in DBS Group Holdings (SGX: D05) and the Straits Times Index (STI) signal a critical inflection point. Both instruments have breached established ascending trendlines, suggesting a potential reassessment in investor sentiment and market trajectory.  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Price Dynamics:  DBS has decisively broken below its ascending trendline, closing at SGD 44.23, registering a 3.53% decline. The price action underscores weakening upward momentum and raises the probability of an extended correction phase. Key Technical Levels: 38.2% Fibonacci retracement: SGD 41.45 50% Fibonacci retracement: SGD 39.78 61.8% Fibonacci retracement: SGD 38.12 Full retracement: SGD 32.72 Outlook:  The breach beneath the trendline suggests an erosion of bullish conviction. Immediate attention should be on the 38.2% retracement le...