Skip to main content

Market Weekly Outlook

 




Week Ahead - 13 May 2024

After being presented with the “Mee Siam” cake, PM Lee will be stepping down this week, with Finance Minister Lawrence Wong stepping up to lead Singapore into the future. Meanwhile, the Straits Times Index (STI) continues to trade within a range, showing potential to retest the 3,350 level, with support at 3,240. The release of April's non-oil domestic exports on Friday could significantly influence the STI, especially as earnings announcements begin to taper off.

Currently, no significant technical signals have been observed in the US, Hong Kong, and China markets. The US S&P 500 is range bound between 4,950 and 5,250. Separately, President Biden's announcement of imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs, we are closely monitoring for any notable technical movements in these stocks.

In Asia, the China A50 index is expected to retest its previous high of 13,500, bolstered by growing investor optimism and a series of economic and housing measures from Beijing. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has reached a resistance zone at 18,400. If it maintains this level, the next resistance point to watch is 20,000.

Our strategy focuses on seeking long trades in the Hong Kong market, while adopting a selective approach in the Singapore and US markets.

Headlines for the week:

- US Corp Earnings (Home Depot, Walmart)
- SG Corp Earnings (SIA)
- US Apr CPI report, FOMC Chair Powell speaks
- China Apr Econ data
- SG Leadership transition, Apr NODX report


Disclaimers apply

Most Popular

Week Ahead: Trump Trade and the Resilient US Economy

  Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...

Week Ahead: Sustaining December’s Investor-Friendly Momentum

  Week Ahead, 2 Dec 2024   Macro News: Despite inflation remaining firm, the market continues to expect that the US Federal Reserve has a higher probability of cutting rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming FOMC meeting . December marks the final month of 2024 as we approach the year's end. Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been favorable to investors in December , with a 70.83% probability of a positive return and an average gain of 0.74%. We hope these trends persist in 2024. Currently, we have not identified any trade setups. We will provide updates if any opportunities arise. Medium Term: ·        S&P 500: The S&P 500 remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. ·        STI: The STI remains at the 3,700 resistance zone, with no major technical signals observed. If momentum sustains, the index could move towards the 3,860 level. ·     ...