Skip to main content

Weekly Market Outlook

 





Week Ahead: 

5 August 2024

Markets declined after the US unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%, intensifying recession concerns following a period of high-interest rate policies. Risk assets also suffered this week as a strengthening Yen unwound the popular carry trade strategy (borrowing Yen to invest in riskier assets).

The overall sentiment for equities deteriorated further as Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway reported a record-high cash position of $277 billion while simultaneously reducing its Apple Inc holdings by 50%.

The upcoming week is expected to be quiet in terms of economic data releases, with a few key corporate earnings reports scheduled. Technically, the S&P 500 is testing its 5,300 support level, and a short-term rebound is possible in this area.

While we do not have a specific trading setup at this time, we anticipate further inflows into bonds and high-quality REITs, as the interest rate environment eases.

Headlines for the week:
- US Corp Earnings (Caterpillar, Uber, Airbnb, Walt Disney, Eli Lilly, SoftBank, Venture Corp, SembCorp Ind, DBS, SGX)
- China CPI
- SG Holiday (Fri)

Disclaimers apply

Most Popular

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI),  annual performance  during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...
Read more

Week Ahead: Trump Trade and the Resilient US Economy

  Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...
Read more

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd (BS6) – Bullish Momentum Boosting Near-Term Outlook

  Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) has been exhibiting favourable technical and fundamental observations. 1. Technicals The chart shows a price  breakout above S$2.75 , which had previously served as a strong resistance level. This breakout occurred with increasing volume, indicating strong buying momentum. Price Targets: - 1st Target: S$3.0 - 2nd Target: S$3.20 - Trailing Stop Loss Box (7): S$2.36 (Current) These targets are in line with Fibo extension, 1.618% (S$3.02) and 2.0 (S$3.19). Support and Stop-Loss Investors should keep an eye on the trailing stop at S$2.36 , derived from current Box (7) value. Relative Strength While the stock is outperforming the STI index , the relative strength index (RSI) is not yet overbought, signaling room for further upward movement. 2. Fundementals YZJ's robust strong order and  underlying structural trend in s hifting to clean Energy Vessels  container and LNG vessels, continues to support company's order book , which extends i...
Read more