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Market Awaits First US Rate Cut in 2025

 




Week Ahead: 15 Sept 2025

Markets preparing for the first rate cut in 2025. US FED Powell’s speech on inflation outlook and interest rate policy would be key. 

Short Term:

S&P 500 (SPX):  The S&P 500 has broken out of its recent range, with potential to test the first resistance at 6,650. Immediate support is located at 6,500.

Maintain a bullish bias while above 6,500. Consider tactical longs on pullbacks toward support with a stop just below 6,480. Take partial profits near 6,650 and trail stops higher if momentum extends.

Hang Seng Index (HSI): The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has broken above its previous 23,700–25,750 trading range. The index could test the 27,100 zone, though caution as the FFI indicator remains mixed.

Adopt a selective, avoid aggressive chasing. Favor staggered entry near 25,750–26,000 on confirmation of demand strength. Tight stops recommended below 25,500 to manage risk.

Straits Times Index (STI): The Straits Times Index (STI) has achieved our 4,350 target. Sustained momentum could drive the index toward the 4,480 zone following its breakout from the previous trading range. Immediate support is seen at 4,275.

Lock in partial gains at current levels. Keep a cautious long bias if price holds above 4,275. Re-enter/add exposure only on strong close above 4,400 to capture a potential run to 4,480.


Long Term:

S&P 500 (SPX) Upward Trend
Hang Seng Index (HSI) Upward Trend
Straits Times Index (STI) Uptrend Trend

Headlines Next Week:
US: FOMC rate decision, US retail sales, ind. production, US & China Trade Talk
China: Aug mfg, retail sales, Aug home prices
Singapore: Aug NODX, 2Q employment rate report 


Disclaimers apply

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