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Week Ahead: Oracle Corp, the AI Bubble Barometer Halted Markets' Advance

 

Week Ahead: 15 Dec 2025
Oracle Corp, the AI Bubble Barometer Halted Markets' Advance

Short Term: 
S&P 500 (SPX): We expect index to remain range bounded

The index remains range-bound within the well-defined consolidation band between 6,633 and 6,925, with recent price action stalling just below the upper resistance. Upside momentum has cooled near resistance, suggesting supply is still active at higher levels, as FFI indicator shows improving but uneven flow.

Tactical Trade:
With index continues to be in a confined range, tactical longs remain preferred on dips above 6,700, targeting a retest of 6,925, with stops below 6,633. 

Directional Probability (AI-Assisted):
Bullish (break above 6,925): 30%
Rangebound (6,633–6,925): 56%
Bearish (break below 6,633): 14%

Hang Seng Index (HSI): We expect index to remain range bounded

The HSI remains confined within its broad multi-month consolidation range between 25,150 and 27,383, with recent price action stabilising around the mid-range pivot near 25,690. Despite the latest rebound, follow-through remains limited and upside attempts continue to fade below 26,893, indicating persistent supply at higher levels. The FFI indicator shows marginal improvement but remains inconsistent.

Tactical Trade:
Short-term traders may consider tactical dip-buys near 25,150–25,300, targeting a rebound toward 25,690–26,000, with tight stops below 25,150.

Directional Probability (AI-Assisted):
Bullish (toward 27,383): 22%
Rangebound (25,150–26,893): 56%
Bearish (below 25,150): 22%

Straits Times Index (STI): Cautious Bullish view towards 4,690

The STI has broken above the 4,575 resistance with a visible gap-up move, signalling improving bullish momentum after a period of consolidation. The ability to hold above this former resistance would mark a constructive shift in market structure.

Tactical Trade:
Short-term traders can look for buy-on-pullback opportunities toward 4,560–4,575, targeting 4,690, with stops below 4,520.

Directional Probability (AI Assisted):
• Bullish (towards 4,690): 58%
• Rangebound (4,460–4,575): 32%
• Bearish (towards 4,372): 10%

Long Term:
S&P 500 (SPX) Upward Trend
Hang Seng Index (HSI) Upward Trend
Straits Times Index (STI) Uptrend Trend

Headlines Next Week:
US: Delayed US labour market report, Non-farm payrolls for Oct and Nov, Oct retail sales, Nov inflation data, Dec S&P Global PMIs
China: Nov ind prod, retail sales, unemployment rate

Disclaimers apply

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