Week Ahead: Inflation Outlook Putting Pressure On Equities Market

 





Week Ahead 18- 22 May 2026

Headlines:
US Corp Earnings: NVDA, WMT
SG Corp Earnings: Singtel
US: FOMC mins, FED speakers, PMI
China: 1Y & 5Y LPR fixing, Ind prod, Retail sales
Singapore: NODX, final 1Q GDP


S&P 500 (SPX): 
The index tested and got rejected by 7,455 resistance level. FFI remains positive, divergence observed. We are bullish but is cautious on the current trend.

Tactical Trade: 
Neutral, looking out for long on dip for tactical trade.

Long Term Direction: 
Upward trend.

Directional Probability: 
Bullish (Breakout 7,455 toward 7,900): 25% 
Range (7,003–7,455): 60% 
Bearish (Breakdown 7,003 toward 6,550): 15%


Hang Seng Index (HSI): 
Index continues to hover above gap support (25,600–25,800). We are watching FFI closely, as flow continues to weaken near gap support. 

Tactical Trade: 
Neutral. Long if gap support (25,600–25,800) holds.

Long Term Direction: 
Upward trend

Directional Probability: 
Bullish (Break 27,383, toward 29,618): 20%
Rangebound (25,146–27,383): 60%
Bearish (Break 25,146, toward 22,910): 20%

Straits Times Index (STI): 
Index failed to breakout for the 5th time from 5,041 grip. FFI has flipped back positive. We expect directional move soon.

Tactical Trade: 
Neutral

Long Term Direction: 
Upward Trend.

Directional Probability: 
Bullish (Break 5,041, toward 5,385): 25% 
Rangebound (4,697 – 5,041): 55% 
Bearish (Break 4,697, toward 4,353): 20%


Disclaimers apply