Week Ahead: Rate Path or AI Capex: Which Is Going To Lead The Markets?

 

Week Ahead 7 Sept - 11 Sept 2026

US Earnings: Oracle, GameStop, and Adobe

US: Aug PPI, Aug Inflation
China: Aug Inflation
Singapore: Aug Retail Sales
 
S&P 500 (SPX):
The index has failed three times to sustain above 7,800, closing at 7,718.60. FFI remained negtive. Remain cautious and monitor for directional moves.
 
Tactical Trade:
Neutral
 
Long-Term Direction:
Upward Trend
 
Directional Probability:
Bullish (Breakout 8,000 towards 8,382): 15%
Range (7,620 – towards 8,000): 65%
Bearish (Breakdown 7,620, towards 7,238): 20%

Hang Seng Index (HSI):
Index defended 25,146 for a second time, while FFI has turned marginally positive.
 
Tactical Trade:
Cautious, selective long near 25,300, stop below 25,100.
 
Long Term Direction:
Neutral (leaning towards Bullish).
 
Directional Probability:
Bullish (Break 27,383, toward 29,612): 20%
Rangebound (25,146–27,383): 65%
Bearish (Break 25,146, toward 22,910): 15%

Straits Times Index (STI):
The index traded into new high territory as FFI declined to confirm the breakout.
 
Tactical Trade:
Cautiously Long bias with the trend. Entry on retest of 5,728–5,760, stops below 5,700.
 
Long Term Direction:
Upward Trend
 
Directional Probability:
Bullish (break above 5,728, towards 6,073): 45%
Rangebound (5,385 to 5,774): 50%
Bearish (Break below 5,385, towards 5,041): 5%


Disclaimers apply