Market Technician

Week Ahead: 26 May 2025 Traders and investors will be closely monitoring developments following President Trump’s escalation of trade tensions, including a proposed 50% tariff on EU goods and potential duties on iPhones. Meanwhile, upcoming U.S. PCE inflation data and the release of the Fed minutes are expected to be key market drivers in the week ahead. Medium Term:  S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 is currently testing the 5,780 support level. A rebound from this area could signal a resumption of the upward trend. However, if selling pressure persists, the next key support level is at 5,540. Traders can consider tactical long entries near 5,780 with stop-loss below 5,750. Target a rebound toward 6,000 and 6,147 if momentum returns. If breached: Shift to short bias toward 5,540 support zone. Investors to maintain core exposure but stay defensive. Accumulate selectively on confirmed rebound signals. Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle Indicator continues to si...

  Observation: International equities have outperformed U.S. equities year-to-date in 2025. Elevated valuations at the start of the year, coupled with policy uncertainty stemming from tariff threats and political rhetoric, may have contributed to the underperformance of U.S. markets. In contrast, international markets such as China/Hong Kong and Singapore may present tactical opportunities with more favourable risk-reward profiles. Disclaimers Apply

  Walmart Inc (WMT) – Expecting Breakout From Trading Range Walmart is showing signs of Re-accumulation with a spring supported by bullish volume, expecting transiting to Mark Up phase. A break out above $99.79 would confirm the transition.  Entry Zone: $98.50–$99.80 Stop: $91.95 Target 1: $107.63 Target 2: $115.47 Supporting signals: Stoch positive reversal FFI turning positive Relative strength vs S&P500 ticking up Volume surge on breakout Disclaimers Apply

  Week Ahead: 12 May 2025 Post markets fell after Moody's downgraded U.S. credit rating to Aa1. Many has anticipated this downgrade but will be watchful during early week trading.  Medium Term:  S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 Index has broken above the 5,350–5,550 range. The index may test the 5,780 support level, or if momentum persists, retest the 6,147 level. Consider long positions above 5,780 with upside target at 6,147. Use tight stops below 5,750 to manage risk. Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle Indicator continues to signal an upward trend for HK/China markets. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to trade sideways, with the possibility of testing support around the 22,750 level. Alternatively, the index's uptrend could extend toward the 24,200 resistance level. Range-bound trading favoured between 22,750–24,200. Enter longs near 22,750 support with stops below 22,400. Consider breakout trades if index clears 24,200. Straits Times Index...

  Week Ahead: 12 May 2025 U.S. markets were largely flat as investors awaited the outcome of trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing over the weekend. The Fear & Greed Index is currently in 'Greed' territory — not a bearish signal, but short-term long (bullish) positions should be approached with caution. Medium Term:  S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 Index traded within our expectations, within the 5,350–5,550 range. Market could go with directions from here. We will be closely monitoring for signs of demand and supply as the range continues to develop. Traders could buy near 5,350 with tight stops below 5,300, sell into strength near 5,550–5,580 resistance. Or wait for breakout confirmation for directional follow-through — upside target 5,780 on a break above 5,580 Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle Indicator continues to signal an upward trend.  The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has reached and surpassed our 22,800 target, continuing to tra...

  Bitcoin Reaches Our Price Target: A Recap from the Mastering Market Trend Webinar Following up on our E arlier Post after the Mastering Market Trend class, we observed a shift in demand and supply dynamics in late April, within the context of a three-month downtrend that extended from January to April 2025. After breaking above the outer boundary of our regression channel, price continued its upward movement (Demand > Supply), trending toward our first and second target levels. Demand remains in control. In the absence of significant supply, price may consolidate at current levels and potentially break above its all-time high (ATH) of USD 109,300. We continue to monitor closely for any signs of emerging supply. Disclaimers apply