Skip to main content

Thoughts on Week Ahead 13 Feb 2023: Analysts Recommendation Revision, next market driver?

 


Thoughts on Week Ahead:
Week 13 Feb 23

Analysts Recommendation Revision, next market driver?

Market Recap
Markets experienced a volatile week,  S&P500 -1.11%, HSI -2.17%, due to uncertainty surrounding US FED interest rate policy. Dollar Index +0.57% spiked, causing a sell-off in some markets. Despite the selloffs and news headlines, market expectations for Fed fund futures remained at 5.25% for 2023.

Outlook for the Week Ahead
Volatility is expected to persist, particularly in HK and China. Meanwhile, US and SG markets are likely to experience sideways trading. DBS' results on Monday could set the direction for STI.

Analysts could revise their target prices and ratings, following a year of downgrades, as China reopening is expected to have a ripple effect on more industries and markets.

Weekly Investment Strategy
We see recent market correction as an opportunity to pick up quality names in the market. As long as markets do not breach key support levels, we are using this sell-off as a buying opportunity.

Following is link to stocks' Year to date performance for SG,HK and US markets. Overall investors seems picking up tech, travel related and consumer discretionary sectors. Likely rational, valuations becomes more reasonable and China reopen theme.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ND3f5ZZyph6O_tM9sTaT4hI8ukTpoqdu/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=101538497175344321065&rtpof=true&sd=true

Blog disclaimer applies

Most Popular

Week Ahead: Trump Trade and the Resilient US Economy

  Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...

Week Ahead: Sustaining December’s Investor-Friendly Momentum

  Week Ahead, 2 Dec 2024   Macro News: Despite inflation remaining firm, the market continues to expect that the US Federal Reserve has a higher probability of cutting rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming FOMC meeting . December marks the final month of 2024 as we approach the year's end. Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been favorable to investors in December , with a 70.83% probability of a positive return and an average gain of 0.74%. We hope these trends persist in 2024. Currently, we have not identified any trade setups. We will provide updates if any opportunities arise. Medium Term: ·        S&P 500: The S&P 500 remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. ·        STI: The STI remains at the 3,700 resistance zone, with no major technical signals observed. If momentum sustains, the index could move towards the 3,860 level. ·     ...