Market Says US FED Is Done Hiking Rates

Market says US FED is done hiking rates

The stock market is signalling that the US Federal Reserve is finished raising interest rates. This has led to a rally in growth stocks, which are particularly sensitive to interest rates. We are optimistic about the short-term outlook for the S&P 500, but cautious about the long-term outlook for equities.

We believe that there are trading opportunities in the growth sector in the coming week, but investors should be aware of the high volatility of growth stocks.

The bond market, especially longer-term bonds, also rallied this week on the Fed's perceived message that it is halting rate hikes. Fixed income investors may want to consider averaging in at current levels.

In the week ahead, we will be looking for stocks to pull back before going long. We will also be looking at interest rate-sensitive stocks in the Hong Kong market.

Summary:

- The Fed is likely done hiking rates.

- Growth stocks are leading the rally.

- Cautious on long-term equities outlook.

- Watch for trading opportunities in growth and interest rate-sensitive stocks.

Headlines for Week Ahead:
Corp Earnings (BRK.B, HD, DBS, SIA, Capland Invest, OCBC)
US Daylight savings ends on 5 Nov
US US FED Chairman speaks
China Oct CPI

Disclaimers apply

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI), annual performance during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...

Week Ahead: US Indices Momemtum in Question

Week Ahead: 10 March 2025 Key event this week was U.S. indices technically closed below the key 30-week (or 150-day) moving average . For the upward trend to continue, the indices need to reclaim levels above the moving averages. Remaining below the 30-week (or 150-day) moving average could indicate that the upward trend has reversed downward. However, in the short term, we expect a rebound as the indices trade near their respective support levels. Medium Term: S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 broke below its key upward trendline, which had been established since October 2023. In the longer term, we expect the index to trade sideways or move in a downward direction. In the short term, we anticipate the S&P 500 will find support at the 5,700 level and could rebound to test the 5,860 and then the 5,966 resistance zones. Straits Times Index (STI): The technical trend remains bullish. We maintain a constructive outlook while staying vigilant for any sig...

Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR: Technical Rebound at Sight After US Broad Market Stabilises

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) USD86.24 Palantir (PLTR) posted a bullish reversal, closing above the 13-day SMA (83.56) with significant volume expansion. This signals potential momentum strength in the near term. First key resistance zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels (USD 99.85 – 105.79), which could present selling pressure. Disclaimers apply

Market Technician

Search This Blog