Thoughts
on Week Ahead: Week 15
April 2024
As we
embark on the week ahead, it's important to acknowledge the evolving landscape
of market dynamics. Quoting from Netflix's '3 Body Problem,' we find ourselves
in what could be termed a 'Chaotic era.' The S&P 500 has entered a phase of
increased volatility, signaling a potential sideways or downward trend in the
short to medium term. Initial technical support rests at the 5,050 level,
marking a retracement of 23.60%.
This
shift in trend is likely influenced by stronger-than-anticipated inflation data
and job reports, prompting the US Federal Reserve to prolong its 'higher for
longer' rate policy.
While
bank earnings have failed to meet market expectations thus far, the onus now
falls on broader market earnings to sustain current optimism. Failure to do so
could result in investor sell-offs.
China A50 Index failed to break above trend resistance, cautious on tactical trades for Greater China.
Gold experienced climatic action on the final day of the trading week, we expect price to consolidate in the near term.
As we
navigate this dynamic landscape, we haven't identified any specific trading
opportunities for the upcoming week. And we will promptly update should any
arise.
Headlines
for the week:
- Corp
Earnings (GS, BAC, MS, LVS, Netflix, PG, Capital Intg Comm Trust)
- China 1Q24
GDP & Econ data
- SG Mar
NODX
Disclaimers
apply
Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...