Thoughts
on Week Ahead: Week 15
April 2024
As we
embark on the week ahead, it's important to acknowledge the evolving landscape
of market dynamics. Quoting from Netflix's '3 Body Problem,' we find ourselves
in what could be termed a 'Chaotic era.' The S&P 500 has entered a phase of
increased volatility, signaling a potential sideways or downward trend in the
short to medium term. Initial technical support rests at the 5,050 level,
marking a retracement of 23.60%.
This
shift in trend is likely influenced by stronger-than-anticipated inflation data
and job reports, prompting the US Federal Reserve to prolong its 'higher for
longer' rate policy.
While
bank earnings have failed to meet market expectations thus far, the onus now
falls on broader market earnings to sustain current optimism. Failure to do so
could result in investor sell-offs.
China A50 Index failed to break above trend resistance, cautious on tactical trades for Greater China.
Gold experienced climatic action on the final day of the trading week, we expect price to consolidate in the near term.
As we
navigate this dynamic landscape, we haven't identified any specific trading
opportunities for the upcoming week. And we will promptly update should any
arise.
Headlines
for the week:
- Corp
Earnings (GS, BAC, MS, LVS, Netflix, PG, Capital Intg Comm Trust)
- China 1Q24
GDP & Econ data
- SG Mar
NODX
Disclaimers
apply
Eventful Week: FOMC Decision and Earnings Reports Headline Upcoming Week The week ahead is shaping up to be a busy one for the markets, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and earnings season taking center stage. The FOMC is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, in an effort to combat inflation. This will be the first rate hike after June's pause, and investors will be closely watching the accompanying statement for any clues about the pace of future rate hikes. Earnings season is also in full swing, with more than 100 companies in the S&P 500 scheduled to report results this week. Investors will be looking for signs of how companies are weathering the current economic and geopolitical challenges. In the meantime, China markets appear to be stabilizing, with the yuan holding steady against the dollar below 7.25 and KweiChow Moutai (600519), a vital component of the China A50 index, which displays strength by breaking out