Skip to main content

Weekly Market Ahead

 







Thoughts on the Week Ahead:
Week of 17 June 2024

"No Elon, No Tesla" – Tesla shareholders have spoken, with more than 70% approving Elon Musk’s pay package. With his position secured, the market will be looking for more commercial innovations from Tesla Inc.

In the US markets, over the past weeks, tech companies have outperformed the broader market, with a 38% gain compared to the broader market's 19% gain since 27 October 2023. Therefore, to achieve alpha or increase the probability of a higher win rate, positioning and tactical trades in technology companies are preferred.

The Straits Times Index (STI) retraced lower since hitting the 3,350 resistance level, with immediate support at 3,250.

The China Market (China A50) is in the technical support zone, and we are looking for more evidence of market demand to confirm any theory of a trend reversal.

Investors could consider adding to bond ETFs (e.g. ZROZ ETF) for both the US and Singapore markets in batches, as bond prices continue to display positive momentum amid a less hawkish outlook.

On tactical trades, we will lookout for long positions in US tech companies while remain cautious on the overall market. For China markets, we are looking for signs of bottoming. Lastly, we will be very selective with trades in the Singapore market.

Headlines for the week:
- US Market Close on Wed
- China LPR fixings
- SG May NODX Report, Market Close on Mon

Disclaimers apply

Most Popular

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI),  annual performance  during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...

Week Ahead: Sustaining December’s Investor-Friendly Momentum

  Week Ahead, 2 Dec 2024   Macro News: Despite inflation remaining firm, the market continues to expect that the US Federal Reserve has a higher probability of cutting rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming FOMC meeting . December marks the final month of 2024 as we approach the year's end. Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been favorable to investors in December , with a 70.83% probability of a positive return and an average gain of 0.74%. We hope these trends persist in 2024. Currently, we have not identified any trade setups. We will provide updates if any opportunities arise. Medium Term: ·        S&P 500: The S&P 500 remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. ·        STI: The STI remains at the 3,700 resistance zone, with no major technical signals observed. If momentum sustains, the index could move towards the 3,860 level. ·     ...

Seminar: What’s Ahead for US Market – Navigating Uncertainties and Key Themes with Structured Certificate

What's Ahead for the US Market? Navigating Uncertainties and Key Themes with Structured Certificates Learn more about the US stock market and how to position your portfolio in these uncertain times? Join us for a free seminar on Monday, November 4th, from 7:00 PM to 8:30 PM at the SGX Auditorium. In this seminar, we will explore: Key themes driving the US market: Gain insights into the factors that are shaping the current market environment and what you can expect in the coming months. Navigating market uncertainties: Learn strategies for managing risk and capitalizing on opportunities in a volatile market. Introduction to structured certificates: Discover how structured certificates can offer potential enhanced income returns with managed risk. Who should attend? This seminar is designed for investors of all levels who are interested in learning more about the US market and how to invest in it. Speakers: Brandon Leu, CMT, CFTE: SGX Academy Speaker Ms. Olivia Chen: Man...