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Showing posts from June, 2025

Agricultural Bank of China (1288 HK) – Breakout Confirmation with Policy Tailwinds

  Agricultural Bank of China (1288 HK) has completed a well-defined trading range breakout, closing firmly above the prior resistance at HK$5.14, which previously capped price action since April. The breakout is supported by strengthening technical indicators, suggesting the start of a markup phase. The breakout move is characterized by: -Strong daily candle with above-average volume -Momentum pickup on the stochastic oscillator -Price holding above the 13-day SMA Supporting Technical Signals Relative Strength (RS) > 0 vs Hang Seng Index Stock outperformed the broader Hang Seng Index, indicating increasing investors attention and a preference for Chinese financials. Fund Flow Index (FFI): FFI has turned positive, reflecting renewed buying pressure and accumulation after weeks of range-bound behavior. Above All-Time High: This breakout puts the stock above previous highs, with no immediate resistance ahead — opening the path for price discovery. Supporting Fundamentals: Policy T...

Palantir Tech Inc (PLTR) – Anticipating Breakout Beyond All-Time High

  Palantir (PLTR) – Anticipating Breakout Beyond All-Time High Technical Overview Palantir has formed a well-defined trading range below its previous all-time high of $125.00 , consolidating with low volatility over recent weeks. The latest breakout candle, supported by strong volume and upward momentum, suggests the potential beginning of a markup phase . This breakout is further validated by its ability to push above prior highs with increasing participation — a classic breakout signal in both price action and volume analysis . Technical Observations: Relative Strength vs. S&P 500: The RS indicator has turned positive (above zero), suggesting that Palantir is now outperforming the S&P 500 . This is a critical confirmation of strength in momentum-based strategies. Fund Flow Index (FFI): FFI remains strongly positive , indicating sustained institutional buying interest. The steady positive histogram supports the strength behind this move. Breakout Above A...

Week Ahead: US Tariff Roller Coaster Set to Continue

  Week Ahead: 2 June 2025 Deal or no deal—markets are bracing to ride the U.S. tariff roller coaster in the week ahead. On a brighter note, the U.S. April PCE report helped calm equities as inflation remained subdued despite renewed tariff concerns. Meanwhile, Singapore banks declined 0.60%–1.00% on Friday, following a dip in April bank loan growth after March’s record high. Medium Term:  S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 rebounded from the 5,780 support level and is currently trading within the 5,780–5,970 range. With the Forward Flow Indicator (FFI) in positive territory, the outlook remains tilted to the upside. However, if selling pressure resumes, the next key support level is at 5,540. Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle Indicator continues to signal an upward trend for the HK/China markets. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) recovery remains intact. But our near-term outlook for the index is sideways, with potential support at the 22,750 level. Alternativel...